Almost a year into their mandate, the Liberal Party has lost major ground compared to the numbers enjoyed just prior to last fall’s election.
The latest Abacus Data poll shows a virtual tie between the three parties in the province, with undecided voters well ahead of the governing Liberals. Of the 604 people polled last week, when asked who they would vote for if an election were held today: 23 per cent would vote Liberal, 22 per cent NDP and 19 per cent PC. One per cent said ‘other,’ and four per cent would not vote at all. The remaining 31 per cent of respondents were undecided.
Remove the undecided, and the race is still tight. The Liberals came in at 36 per cent, just ahead of the NDP at 34 per cent and the PCs in third, at 29 per cent.
Abacus Data’s David Coletto says what’s most startling about the numbers is the sharp decline in support for Dwight Ball and the Liberal Party. He says they have lost almost six out of ten supporters who voted Liberal last November.
Ball’s personal popularity has also taken a hit over the last eleven months. According to Coletto, a year ago, 50 per cent of the province had a positive impression of Ball, that number has dropped to 16 per cent. Interestingly, NDP leader Earl McCurdy, who does not have a seat in the legislature, is who Coletto calls the least unpopular leader, as all three have low approval ratings.
Direction of the Province
As for where the province is headed, Coletto says people should not be surprised to see a spike in the number of people who don’t like what’s happening.
A year ago, 53 per cent of the province thought we were on the right track, that number has plummeted to 19 per cent. Now, 60 per cent of people asked feel the province is headed in the wrong direction. Coletto says much of that ‘anger’ can be attributed to last April’s extremely unpopular budget.
The survey of 604 people was conducted between October 20 and 27 and is considered accurate +/- 4.1 per cent, 19 times out of 20.
Read the full Abacus poll report at this link.