A new political poll shows the federal Liberal party with a considerable lead over the other parties in voter intentions were an election to be held today.
The Abacus Data poll, released today, shows that if an election were held between June 12th and the 21st, the Liberals would garner 40 per cent of the decided vote, while 29 per cent would support the Conservative, 16 per cent would vote NDP while the Bloc Quebecois and Greens would receive 7 per cent and 6 per cent respectively.
The greatest Conservative support remains in the prairies, with a 32 point lead over the Liberals in Alberta, 18 points in Saskatchewan, and 5 points in Manitoba.
47 per cent of those asked have positive feelings towards Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, while those with negative impressions are at 31 per cent. That’s unchanged for some time.
19 per cent of those asked feel positive about outgoing Conservative leader Andrew Scheer, while 45 per cent had a negative impression.
36 per cent of those asked have positive impressions of the NDP’s Jagmeet Singh, with 23 per cent negative.
Founding partner of Abacus Data, David Coletto says part of the problem facing the federal Conservatives is an apparent disconnect between what the populace is looking for, and what the party has identified as important.
He says very few Canadians asked identify immigration, abortion, or oil and pipeline issues as their main issues of concern. Instead, most Canadians asked identify restarting the economy, improvements to the health care system, and addressing climate change as among the priorities for government, according to Coletto.
He says the next leader of the federal Conservatives has some big challenges ahead.
The next leader is taking over a party that Coletto says is “disrepair” that will require some thoughtful focus.
Methodology:
The survey was conducted with 2,979 Canadian residents from June 12 to 21, 2020. A random sample of panelists were invited to complete the survey from a set of partner panels based on the Lucid exchange platform. These partners are typically double opt-in survey panels, blended to manage out potential skews in the data from a single source.
The margin of error for a comparable probability-based random sample of the same size is +/- 1.8 per cent, 19 times out of 20.
The data were weighted according to census data to ensure that the sample matched Canada’s population according to age, gender, educational attainment, and region. Totals may not add up to 100 due to rounding.